TopStockAnalysts Digest -- Wednesday, March 3, 2008

Mar 3 (2 days ago)
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Wednesday, March 5, 2008

Volume 2, Issue #5

Published weekly, the TopStockAnalysts Digest is loaded with stock picks, trading ideas, market commentary, and educational guidance designed to help you become a better investor. 

Table of Contents

1.  Market Outlook
2.  Foreign-Focused Closed-End Funds
3.  NGP Capital (NGPC)
4.  Additional Investing Ideas


Today's Top Stock Picks

Capture 10% Yields in Foreign Markets by Investing in Closed-End Funds
International investing can be easier than you ever thought possible, thanks to the emergence of international closed-end funds. Read More. . .

Lock in a 12.6% Yield with NGP Capital (NGPC)
NGP offers debt and equity financing to small and mid-sized energy companies and has increased its dividend over +100% in the last three years. Read More. . .

 
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Market Outlook

Had it not been for Leap Day, the major averages would have escaped the month of February with roughly breakeven performances. The Dow, for example, had enjoyed gains in four of the previous five sessions and was sitting at 12,582 — just half a percentage point away from where it started the month. However, Friday's 315-point freefall changed all of that.

The week started off promisingly, with the Dow rallying nearly 200 points Monday on news that troubled bond insurer Ambac Financial (NYSE: ABK) was holding on to its coveted "AAA" credit rating. There was also some optimism surrounding a big announcement on the merger & acquisition front, as video game publisher Take-Two Interactive (Nasdaq: TTWO) received a $2 billion takeover offer from rival Electronic Arts (Nasdaq: ERTS).

The market continued to tack on additional gains later in the week, despite unsettling news that inflation at the wholesale level (as measured by PPI) spiked +7.4% over the past 12 months — the sharpest annual increase since 1981. And judging by the troubling recent uptick in the CPI, it's clear that rising costs are being passed along to the consumer.

Through it all, the major averages were showing solid gains until dismal quarterly earnings from insurer American International Group (NYSE: AIG) and a weak read on business activity in the Midwest stung the market on Friday — leading stocks to another down week and their fourth-straight monthly setback.

To snap that losing streak, it would help to start out on the right foot in March. And that task hinges largely on what we find in the pages of key upcoming economic reports. On this week's docket we have an ambitious release schedule, including the latest data from the service sector and February's non-farm payrolls report.


In the meantime, last week's sell-off has left plenty of stocks trading at discounted prices. Better still, many of the closed-end funds investing in them are also trading at discounts to their net asset value (NAV) — in essence giving investors an extra 10% or 15% off of what were already bargain-bin prices. Below, Nick Lanyi, editor of StreetAuthority's new High-Yield International newsletter, explains how these funds can put a charge in your portfolio once those discounts narrow.

Also on tap for today, High-Yield Investing editor Carla Pasternak drills down into NGP Capital Resources (Nasdaq: NGPC, $16.31). Would you like to get in on the ground floor of up-and-coming energy companies? That's all this business development firm does, and its shareholders have seen their distributions soar +118% over the past three years.

Good Investing!


— Nathan Slaughter
Co-Editor
TopStockAnalysts Digest

 
Warren Buffett Just Purchased 21 million Shares of this Up-and-Coming Retailer

A few short weeks ago, legendary investor Warren Buffett loaded up on this promising retailer, purchasing a stake valued at nearly $500 million. This little-known retail stock has already gained +2,469%, but we expect its market share to grow ten-fold in the coming years, leading to market-crushing gains for early investors like Buffett. And best of all, it's not too late for YOU to get in on the action.

You're just seconds away from learning the name and ticker symbol of this stock PLUS nine other stocks highlighted in StreetAuthority Market Advisor's brand new report entitled Top Ten Stocks for 2008. Investment guru Paul Tracy chose all ten stocks using the same time-tested fundamental principles that he used to generate consistent market-beating returns for FIVE consecutive years.

Read the entire report now

 
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Capture 10% Yields in Foreign Markets by Investing in Closed-End Funds
by Nick Lanyi, Editor — High-Yield International

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Investing abroad can be a daunting task. Often, investors aren't sure how to purchase foreign securities, which companies to invest in, or how to keep tabs on these firms. Luckily, international investing can be easier than you ever thought possible, thanks to the emergence of international closed-end funds.

What is a Closed-End Fund?
A closed-end fund is basically a cross between a mutual fund and a common stock. The fund raises capital through an initial public offering, and it then uses the proceeds to invest in a basket of securities. This basket is hand-selected by professional managers, and it typically concentrates on a specific industry, country, region, or sector.

Unlike mutual funds, closed-end funds are listed on one of the major U.S. exchanges. You can buy shares in a closed-end fund directly from your broker, and when doing so, you can generally expect to pay the same commissions you'd pay to buy a normal stock. Better still, closed-end funds trade throughout the normal trading day, so you can buy and sell shares anytime you wish.

In addition, there are no minimum investment requirements. You can buy closed-end fund shares in any amount you desire. Many are highly liquid and trade hundreds of thousands of shares every day.

Closed-end fund managers also don't have to cope with a constant influx and redemption of cash investments. When a fund lists on the exchange, it raises a certain amount of capital just like a normal stock in an initial public offering (IPO). Investors in a closed-end fund can't ask for their investment back — they can only buy and sell their shares in the open market. This means closed-end fund managers essentially have a fixed pile of cash to work with. They don't have to cope with the daily inflows and outflows of cash that mutual fund managers do. As a result, their expenses and fees are typically much lower than for mutual funds — often as low as 0.75% of assets annually.

And, of course, closed-end funds offer many of the same advantages as mutual funds. These include instant diversification and professional management expertise.

Like mutual funds too, these funds offer investors a chance to invest in many different market segments — some funds focus on particular international markets, different industry groups, or specific strategies such as income investing. In fact, one of the big benefits of closed-end funds is that they can give investors access to high-yielding global stocks that would be very difficult for individual U.S. investors to buy directly. (More on this in a moment.)

A Profitable Quirk
There is one major feature of closed-end funds that all investors should be aware of. This feature, if fully understood, can offer an advantage to the astute investor. However, if not taken into consideration, it can be detrimental. Specifically, I'm speaking of the concept of premiums and discounts.

Closed-end funds trade on the major exchanges just like stocks. Their price is determined not by the value of the investments they hold, but instead by the supply and demand for each fund's shares. Let's illustrate with a simple example: suppose you hold a closed-end fund that owns 100 shares of IBM trading at $100 per share. The value of that investment is $10,000. This figure is referred to as the fund's net asset value (NAV). Furthermore, let's assume that the closed-end fund in question has a total of 1,000 traded shares. In this particular example, the fund's NAV per share would be $10.

However, just because the fund's investments are worth $10 per share does not necessarily mean that the closed-end fund will trade at $10. If investors sell the fund's shares en masse, then the price of the fund on the market could well drop to $9 — in this case, the fund would be trading at a -10% discount to its NAV. On the flip side, if investors, caught in a bullish mood, decide to aggressively buy the shares, then the fund could trade up to $11 or $12 per share. In this type of situation, the fund would sell at a premium to its NAV.

Although it might seem as though closed-end funds should trade at or near their NAV at all times, in practice this is definitely not the case. In the past, I've seen funds trade at premiums or discounts of more than +/- 20% of NAV for short periods of time.

Over the long term, however, closed-end shares do tend to revert to their NAV. With this in mind, it's a good idea to buy funds that are trading either at discounts to their NAVs or at levels very close to their NAV. If you can buy a fund at a discount, then you're essentially buying that fund's assets — the stocks and bonds held by the fund — at a bargain price. In this case, you stand to profit if and when that discount window is ultimately closed.

Using Foreign Closed-End Funds to Capture High Yields
Over 93% of the world's highest-yielding stocks are located in foreign markets.  But taking advantage of those securities is no easy task — it's often difficult for U.S. investors to purchase foreign stocks directly.

However, the good news is that investors can gain easy access to high-yield stocks by investing in closed-end funds.  And right now, a select handful of foreign-focused funds are dishing out enormous double-digit dividend yields.

In a recent issue of my monthly newsletter, High-Yield International, my staff and I provided an in-depth profile of three high-yielding funds. Among them, a closed-end fund that's delivering an impressive 9.2% yield and is benefiting from one of the fastest growing economic regions in the world — Asia.  This fund is also selling at a bargain price, trading at a -13.9% discount to its NAV. 

I also found a Spanish fund that's delivering a mouth-watering 10% yield. At first glance, this Old World country may not seem like a terribly exciting place to invest. However, Spain is actually delivering some of the best returns on the planet.  The Spanish market has skyrocketed over the past five years, and this fund has followed suit, returning +32.8% per year.

If you'd like to learn the name of these securities — plus receive a steady stream of foreign stocks, funds and other investing ideas with abnormally high dividend yields each month — then I'd like to extend you a personal invitation to try my premium international investing newsletter . . . High-Yield International.  Please visit this link to learn more.

 
Why You're Not Hearing About 93% of the World's Highest-Yielding Stocks . . . and How We're Fixing that Right Now

The score of profitable companies each yielding more than 12% is:

Home (U.S.) Away (Foreign)
17 "High-Yielders" 214 "High-Yielders"

17 here versus 214 abroad — where do you think the best hunting ground is for yield-hungry investors?

Fact is, any income investor who doesn't look overseas might as well be playing golf with one club. You're giving up on 93% of your juiciest yields before you even tee off.

In High-Yield International, I'll show you how easy it is to capture safe double-digit income abroad . . . and I'll introduce you to the highest-yielding stocks on the planet — paying up to 35.6%. 

Get the full story here.

 
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Lock in a 12.6% Yield with NGP Capital (NGPC)

by Carla Pasternak, Editor — High-Yield Investing

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NGP Capital Resources (Nasdaq: NGPC, $16.31) is a business development company that provides financing for small and mid-sized energy companies.

NGPC is affiliated with privately held NGP Energy Capital Management, a Texas firm with more than $3.5 billion in capital. The company focuses on domestic oil and gas firms and midstream companies that process and transport oil and gas. It also invests in coal, power generation and distribution, and alternative energy companies. It offers debt financing of between $10 and $100 million and may take small equity stakes in the firms in which it invests.

Based on the latest quarterly dividend of $0.515 per share, the company carries a forward yield of 12.6%. Over the past four quarters, NGPC has distributed $1.44 per share, giving the stock a trailing yield of more than 8.8%.

NGPC's objective is to pay out the majority of its taxable income to shareholders. As earnings have increased, yearly payouts have risen sharply, shooting up from $0.66 per share in 2005 to $0.92 in 2006 to $1.44 in 2007. Over the three years, that amounts to an increase of +118%!

Of the $1.44 per share paid out for 2007, $1.13 came from investment income taxable at your ordinary income tax rate and $0.31 from capital gains taxable at the 15% rate. As such, the stock is suitable for a tax-deferred account.

As of the end of the third quarter of 2007, NGPC held interests of some $425 million in 16 companies. About half of the portfolio was in senior notes similar to preferred shares. The company also held nearly a third of the portfolio assets in Treasury bills awaiting investment opportunities. The weighted average yield of its investment portfolio was 12.2%, excluding Treasuries.

NGPC is growing rapidly, but investors should be aware that a sharp fall in oil and gas prices created by a deep recession could derail the ability of some of its portfolio companies to repay their debt. Still, oil and gas would have to drop significantly below current levels for that risk to be significant.

Action To Take —->  NGPC has a history of both rising earnings and distributions. It is a suitable stock for investors who are willing to assume the risk that oil and gas prices will remain robust, despite a possible U.S. economic slowdown.

 
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Additional Investing Ideas

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Five Reasons Why You Should Use this Powerful Strategy in Today's Crazy Market
Would you rather lose 25% of your capital with no possibility to make it back, or have just 10% at risk?

Strong Earnings Growth Should Help Push this Stock Up More than +50%
Panera (PNRA) is playing to the growing trend of eating better by opening new stores — which could mean a rally for shareholders.

Terex (TEX) Trades at a P/E of Just 10.3, a Significant Discount Compared to Competitors
Despite its ability to withstand a downturn in U.S. construction and +21% earnings growth, Terex (TEX) is still undervalued compared to its major competitors.

 

Good investing in the coming weeks!




Nathan Slaughter
Co-Editor
TopStockAnalysts Digest




Paul Tracy
Co-Editor
TopStockAnalysts Digest


 

Income Security of the Month

If you're looking for both high yields and enormous capital gains, then you need to learn more about our "Income Security of the Month" for February 2008. This stable, diversified fund has a long track record of paying some of the biggest dividends in Wall Street history. In fact, the fund has paid an average dividend of 22.1% per year over the past five years — nearly 12X greater than the yield delivered by the S&P!

This fund invests exclusively in one of the fastest-growing and most undervalued foreign markets on the planet. Thanks in large part to its international strategy, the fund has posted total returns of +281.7% over the past five years, and it ranks in the top 12% of its category over the past decade.

Undervalued Stock of the Month
Our favorite value stock for December 2007 has pulled back -51% from its highs. As a result, bargain hunters now have a rare opportunity to pick up one of the world's most dominant companies with a "Price Appreciation Potential" of +91%.

Top Ten Stocks for 2008
StreetAuthority.com founder Paul Tracy and our research staff just put the finishing touches on an in-depth 25-page special report entitled "StreetAuthority's Top Ten Stocks for 2008." After hundreds of hours of research, due diligence and healthy intra-company debate, we've managed to narrow the vast investing universe down to just ten stocks that we think are poised to deliver above-average returns not only throughout the 2007 calendar year, but also in the years that follow.

Why You're Not Hearing About 93% of the World's Highest-Yielding Stocks...
Income Investors: Think back to the most generous yield of any stock you've ever had the good fortune to own.  Now triple it. That just hints at the kind of cash flow you can pocket right now from the special stocks, bonds and funds you'll find in the brand-new investment service I want to tell you about today.


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